The ATP Adelaide semifinals on Jan 16, 2026, feature two compelling matchups.
In Machac – Paul, Tomas Machac is the recommended underdog, having not dropped a set all week and holding a 2-1 head-to-head advantage over Paul. Paul has also shown strong form, winning his matches in straight sets. The value bet is Tomas Machac +2.5 games handicap.
For Davidovich Fokina – Humbert, both players have achieved straight-set victories this week. However, Ugo Humbert is highlighted as the superior hard-court player, having dominated his matches efficiently. Humbert’s strong play and comfort on fast courts make him the favored pick. The best bet is for Ugo Humbert to win the match.

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